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☆ US consumer spending slows; labor market steadily easing
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

Those hopes were reinforced by other data on Thursday showing the labor market gradually easing. Though wages remain elevated, the pace of increase has slowed from earlier in the year as the labor market eases. Personal consumptionINFLATION COOLINGInflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index was unchanged in October after rising 0.4% in September. Stripping out housing, the core PCE price index edged up 0.1% after gaining 0.3% in September. Still, the labor market is cooling in tandem with overall demand in the economy.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Jerome, Powell, Conrad DeQuadros, Nancy Vanden Houten, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Brean, Commerce Department's, United Auto Workers, Treasury, Fed, Labor Department, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, New York, outlays, U.S

☆ US weekly jobless claims fall; business spending on equipment softening
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Though the weekly jobless claims report from the Labor Department on Wednesday also showed unemployment rolls declining for the first-time since mid-September, they remained near the highs for this year. The claims data covered the period during which the government surveyed businesses for the nonfarm payrolls component of November's employment report. Continuing claims fell 22,000 to 1.840 million during the week ending Nov. 11, the claims report showed. Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, dipped 0.1% last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Business spending on equipment spending contracted in the third quarter.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Nancy Vanden Houten, Unadjusted, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Oxford Economics, Reuters, Fed, Bank of America Institute, Commerce Department, Commerce, Data, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, California, Kentucky , Oregon , Kentucky, Illinois, Texas, Commerce Department's

More Americans filed for jobless claims last week and while the labor market remains broadly healthy, there have are growing signs that it may finally be cooling. Applications for unemployment benefits rose by 13,000 to 231,000 for the week ending Nov. 11, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Jobless claim applications are seen as representative of the number of layoffs in a given week. The Federal Reserve has been tapping the brakes on the economy and the labor market for nearly two years, trying to stem what was the highest inflation in four decades. It was the sixth straight week that continuing claims rose.

Persons: ”, Rubeela Farooqi, Nancy Vanden Houten, Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Fed, “, Oxford Economics, ”

☆ US weekly jobless claims at three-month high; import prices tumble
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Job growth slowed in October and the unemployment rate climbed to 3.9%, the highest level since January 2022. Import prices dropped 0.8% last month after rising 0.4% in September. Economists had forecast import prices, which exclude tariffs, falling 0.3%. In the 12 months through October, import prices declined 2.0% after decreasing 1.5% in September. Excluding fuels and food, import prices dropped 0.2% after dipping 0.1% in September.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Nancy Vanden Houten, Unadjusted, Goldman Sachs, Lou Crandall, Wrightson, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Oxford Economics, Reuters, Goldman, Treasury, Fed, Reuters Graphics, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City , New York, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Massachusetts, Oregon, Georgia, United States, China

☆ The Elusive Soft Landing Is Coming Into View
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( David Harrison | Jeffrey Sparshott | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Over the three months through October, U.S. employers added an average of 204,000 jobs a month, a marked slowdown from earlier in the postpandemic period. Photo: Justin Sullivan/Getty ImagesThe U.S. economy is approaching what most economists had thought either unlikely or impossible: inflation returning to its prepandemic norm without a recession or even much economic weakness, a so-called soft landing. “What we are expecting now is a soft landing,” said Nancy Vanden Houten , lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. “We expect the economy to weaken quite a bit but it does look like we’ll avoid an outright contraction” in gross domestic product.

Persons: Justin Sullivan, ”, Nancy Vanden Houten Organizations: Oxford Economics

☆ New US jobless claims edge down; continued claims on the rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Dan Burns | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Some economists contend the rise in continuing claims reflects difficulties adjusting the data for seasonal fluctuations. That would be consistent with the latest hiring data showing the job market is cooling. A separate report showed that there were 1.5 job openings for every unemployed person in September, down from around 2-to-1 when the job market was the most tight last year. The claims data adds to the case for the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep interest rates on hold for now, economists said. Vanden Houten, however, said she expects job market conditions to soften slowly, and now expects the first Fed rate cut to happen in September rather than May as she had previously forecast.

Persons: Brian Snyder, Nancy Vanden Houten, Dan Burns, Paul Simao, Franklin Paul Organizations: Taylor Party, Equipment Rentals, REUTERS, Labor Department, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, Fed, CME Group's, Franklin Paul Our, Thomson Locations: Somerville , Massachusetts, U.S, Vanden Houten

The government’s October jobs report is expected to show Friday that companies and government agencies added 184,000 jobs, a solid showing, though down sharply from a blockbuster 336,000 gain in September. The Fed scrutinizes the monthly job data to assess whether employers are still hiring and raising pay aggressively as a result of labor shortages. The Fed's policymakers are trying to calibrate their key interest rate to simultaneously cool inflation, support job growth and ward off a recession. At the same time, inflationary pressures have been easing as the Fed has sharply raised borrowing costs. In the meantime, despite long-standing predictions by economists that the Fed's ever-higher interest rates would trigger a recession, the U.S. economy, the world’s largest, remains sturdy.

Persons: ’ ’, Nancy Vanden Houten, ’ Vanden Houten, Vanden Houten, Jerome Powell Organizations: WASHINGTON, —, Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, Federal, United Auto Workers, Detroit, Wage, Labor Department Locations: U.S, COVID

☆ The US economy added 150,000 jobs last month. Here’s what that means
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Minneapolis CNN —For several months now, the US labor market has been on a cooling trajectory, and Friday’s jobs report made that even more apparent. The US economy added 150,000 jobs last month, falling below expectations but still notching a solid month of employment growth, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Friday. October’s job growth came in below September’s stronger-than expected but downwardly revised total of 297,000 jobs. Including the estimated 150,000 jobs added last month and the downward revisions to August and September that totaled 101,000 jobs, the United States is averaging 239,000 jobs gained per month so far this year. Where the jobs were — and weren’tBecause of the timing of the striking actions and how the BLS tracks such activity, October is the first jobs report that reflects the massive strike.

Persons: ”, Sung Won Sohn, Nancy Vanden Houten, Jerome Powell, Gus Faucher, Dante DeAntonio, ” DeAntonio, “ It’s, ” Ger Doyle, ManpowerGroup, Amy Glaser, we’ve, “ We’re Organizations: Minneapolis CNN —, of Labor Statistics, SS Economics, Loyola Marymount University, United Auto Workers, Ford, General Motors, UAW, Big, Federal Reserve, Fed, Oxford Economics, BLS, PNC Financial Services, Government, Moody’s, ”, CNN, “ Locations: Minneapolis, United States, Southern California

The report is also expected to find that gains in average hourly earnings were solid but decelerated to 4 percent from a year earlier. The September report showed an unexpectedly strong gain of 336,000 jobs — a figure that will be revised Friday — and a year-over-year wage gain of 4.2 percent. has reached tentative contract agreements with the three major U.S. automakers and told striking members to return to their jobs. “We expect the October employment report to show a large deceleration in job growth, although the moderation will be overstated by the impact of striking autoworkers,” Nancy Vanden Houten, lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, said in a note. “Excluding those workers,” she added, “job growth will still be relatively robust, although narrowly based.”Since early 2022, the benchmark interest rate set by the Federal Reserve has surged from near zero to more than 5 percent.

Persons: Nancy Vanden Houten, Jerome H, Powell, Mr, “, ” Organizations: Bloomberg, United Automobile Workers, Oxford Economics, Federal Reserve

Persons: Nancy Vanden Houten, Jerome H, Powell, Mr, “, ” Organizations: Bloomberg, United Automobile Workers, Oxford Economics, Federal Reserve

There are reasons for the central bank to be, as policymakers have said, "careful" in approving any further rate increases. "We think real rates are higher due to very strong US growth," analysts from Citi wrote ahead of this week's Fed meeting. As of the September meeting, Fed officials said they still felt one more rate hike would be necessary. But Powell has also said growth needs to slow - and if it doesn't, it means the Fed's policy rate will need to move higher. It's a good thing that the labor market's strong," Powell said at his press conference following the end of the Sept. 19-20 policy meeting.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, Dana Peterson, Consumers, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Economic, of New, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Citi, Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S, Investors, Gross, Oxford Economics, Conference Board, Conference Board's, Thomson Locations: of New York, New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, joblessness

☆ After a summer of Barbenheimer and Beyoncé, can US consumers still afford the holiday season?
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-21 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Minneapolis CNN —Ballpark attendance boomed this summer, Barbenheimer revived the box office and a Renaissance of live performances brought concerts into new Eras. However, it also could mean that holiday spending just might look a little different and skewed more toward experiences than it has done in past years. Respondents to KPMG’s 2023 holiday survey said they plan to spend 5% more this season, said Matt Kramer, KPMG’s consumer and retail national sector leader. “What stands out the most is this ‘leaning in’ to holiday travel and wanting to have those experiences with friends and family,” he said. A more comprehensive look at consumer spending will come at the tail end of the month when the Personal Consumption Expenditures data is released.

Persons: Barbenheimer, Everybody, ”, Keith Gentili, ” Taylor Swift, Allen J, “, Ted Rossman, that’s, ’ ”, aren’t, Matt Kramer, Tamara Charm, Elijah Nouvelage, Patrick T, Fallon, Gus Faucher, Nathan Howard, Nancy Vanden Houten, ’, ” Rossman, Matt Schulz Organizations: Minneapolis CNN —, New Hampshire, Los Angeles Times, Getty, Bankrate, McKinsey, Travelers, Hartsfield, Jackson Atlanta International Airport, Bloomberg, Commerce, Apple, PNC Financial Services, Shoppers, canaries, LendingTree Locations: Minneapolis, New, Inglewood , California, splurge, ’, Los Angeles, AFP, Georgetown, Washington, what’s, Oxford

Applications for U.S. unemployment benefits fell to their lowest level in eight months last week as businesses continue to retain workers despite elevated interest rates meant to cool the economy and labor market. Jobless claim applications fell by 13,000 to 198,000 for the week ending Oct. 14, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Despite the low level of weekly first-time jobless benefit applications, the number of Americans remaining on the unemployment rolls — known as “continuing claims” — jumped to its highest level in three months. In August, about 736,000 people re-entered the search for employment, boosting the unemployment rate from 3.5% to 3.8%, where it remains today. In August, American employers posted a surprising 9.6 million job openings, up from 8.9 million in July and the first uptick in three months.

Persons: ” —, ‘, ”, Nancy Vanden Houten Organizations: Labor Department, Oxford Economics, Federal Reserve

☆ Student loan payments are back. Here’s where some Americans are trimming their budgets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +14 min

Student debt relief activists participate in a rally at the US Supreme Court on June 30, 2023 in Washington, DC. “Of course, the lowest-earning households still collectively owe around $7 billion a year in student loan repayments. After the Supreme Court dashed any hopes of loan forgiveness, more Americans started making loan payments before the official repayment period, as well as interest, kicked in. “It’s just all the supplemental spending, a lot of that will disappear so that we can make room for the [student loan] payments,” he said. Jonnisha McCleod was able to wipe out $12,000 of her student loan debt.

Persons: Minneapolis CNN —, they’re, ”, Justine Lyons, “, pesky, Lyons, — Lyons, Robin Nathan “ It’s, you’ve, it’s, Kevin Dietsch, Emerson Sprick, Biden, Sprick, Shannon Seery, Wells, ” Seery, Nancy Vanden Houten, Brian Snyder, Snyder, “ It’s, Megan Lopez, ” Lopez, you’re, Logan Ricketts, Jamie, they’ve, ” Logan, Jonnisha, ” McCleod, ’, McCleod, Jonnisha McCleod, I’m, “ I’m, Katrice Williams, Williams couldn’t, Edna Monroy “, Williams Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, National Student, Federal Reserve Bank of New, US, Biden, New York Fed, Coalition, Department of Education, Education Department, CNN, Oxford, Oxford Economics, SAVE, Cleveland State University College of Law, Trump Locations: Minneapolis, Decatur , Georgia, States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Washington , DC, Wells Fargo, Baltimore , Maryland, Las Vegas, Cedar Park , Texas, Omaha , Nebraska, undergrad, Cleveland , Ohio

[1/2] An employee hiring sign is seen in a window of a business in Arlington, Virginia, U.S., April 7, 2023. The report will be released at 8:30 a.m. (1230 GMT), based on surveys conducted before a United Auto Workers strike could influence the outcome. "We think the Fed would like to see a bit more evidence of cooling labor market conditions than we expect," Oxford Economics lead U.S. economist Nancy Vanden Houten wrote this week. But she said that wage gains were likely to prove a bit stronger than the month before. Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Nancy Vanden Houten, Howard Schneider, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, United Auto Workers, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Wage, Fed, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, Oxford

The collective impact of higher rates across the economy could also weaken the government's own finances. With borrowing rates high and inflation still relatively elevated, consumers, who drive about 70% of economic growth, are expected to spend more cautiously. “Those tighter, higher rates will have an impact on the economy.”Financial analysts point to several reasons for the rapid increase in lending rates. Overseas buyers have reduced their purchases, thereby forcing rates higher to attract buyers. “All of that is driving these fears of higher rates, and no one knows when it’s going to stop,” said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of US rates strategy at TD Securities.

Persons: Kevin McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Freddie Mac, Loretta Mester, ” Mester, it’s, ”, Gennadiy Goldberg, Benson Durham, Piper Sandler, Durham, Jerome Powell, ‘, we’re, ’ ”, Nancy Vanden Houten, David Page Organizations: WASHINGTON, United Auto Workers, Representatives, Republican, Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, ”, Fed, Treasury Department, TD Securities, Oxford Economics, AXA Locations: U.S, ’ ” Durham, London

☆ US housing starts hit three-year low; surge in permits point to underlying strength
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

The decline in housing starts reported by the Commerce Department on Tuesday was the largest in a year and occurred across the board. Housing starts tumbled 11.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.283 million units last month, the lowest level since June 2020. Data for July was revised lower to show starts accelerating to a rate of 1.447 million units instead of the previously reported 1.452 million units. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, dropped 4.3% to a rate of 941,000 units last month. They were boosted by a 14.8% surge in multi-family housing permits to a rate of 535,000 units.

Persons: Mike Blake, homebuilding, Daniel Vielhaber, Hilary, Freddie Mac, Goldman Sachs, Nancy Vanden Houten, Jeffrey Roach, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, Federal, Nationwide, Reuters, U.S, Treasury, National Association of Home Builders, Oxford Economics, Realtors, LPL Financial, Thomson Locations: Rancho, San Diego , California, U.S, WASHINGTON, Columbus , Ohio, homebuilding, Northeast, Midwest, Wells Fargo, New York, Charlotte , North Carolina

☆ Higher gasoline prices lift US retail sales, trend slowing
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Retail sales rose 0.6% last month. Higher gasoline prices boosted producer prices in August, other data from the Labor Department showed on Thursday. Excluding gasoline stations, retail sales rose 0.2% last month. Sales at food services and drinking places, the only services category in the retail sales report, rose 0.3% after increasing 0.8% in July. Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales edged up 0.1% in August.

Persons: Mike Blake, Christopher Rupkey, Goldman Sachs, Nancy Vanden Houten, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Reuters, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Labor Department, Treasury, delinquencies, New York Federal Reserve, Gross, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: Carlsbad , California, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York

☆ US housing starts surge in boost to economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

The sharp rebound in groundbreaking on single-family housing units reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday was another sign of the economy continuing to defy dire forecasts of a recession. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, jumped 6.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 983,000 units last month. The increase in groundbreaking was led by the West, where single-family starts soared 28.5%. Overall housing starts increased 3.9% to a rate of 1.452 million units in July. TIGHT SUPPLYDespite the rise in starts, housing supply is likely to remain tight.

Persons: Mike Blake, homebuilding, Christopher Rupkey, Freddie Mac, Nancy Vanden, Daniel Silver, Goldman Sachs, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, WASHINGTON, Commerce Department, Federal, National Association of Home Builders, Reuters, Oxford Economics, Treasury, Realtors, U.S, Fed, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: San Marcos , California, U.S, New York, homebuilding, Nancy Vanden Houten, Midwest

☆ US single-family housing starts to drop; building permits hit 12-month high
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Summary Single-family housing starts drop 7.0% in JuneSingle-family building permits increase 2.2%Multi-family starts fall 11.6%; permits drop 5.6%WASHINGTON, July 19 (Reuters) - U.S. single-family homebuilding fell in June, but permits for future construction rose to a 12-month high as a severe shortage of previously owned houses for sale supports new construction. The decline in housing starts reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday partially retraced an abnormally large 18.7% surge in May, which had pushed groundbreaking on single-family housing projects to an 11-month high. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, dropped 7.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 935,000 units last month. In June, single-family homebuilding fell in the Northeast, Midwest as well as the densely populated South, but jumped 4.6% in the West. Housing starts and building permitsHOUSING STABILIZING"Today's report continues to suggest stabilization," said Murat Tasci, an economist at JPMorgan in New York.

Persons: homebuilding, Mark Palim, Fannie, Freddie Mac, Murat Tasci, Nancy Vanden, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Commerce Department, Builders, Reuters, Federal, National Association of Home Builders, Treasury, Housing, JPMorgan, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, Fannie Mae, Washington, homebuilding, Northeast, Midwest, Wells Fargo, New York, West, Nancy Vanden Houten, U.S

☆ US single-family starts drop; building permits hit 12-month high
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Washington, DC CNN —New home sales surged in May, as buyers looked to new construction as an alternative to the low inventory of existing homes for sale. Homeowners with ultra-low mortgage rates are reluctant to sell and buy another home at a much higher rate. Sales of existing homes have been down for the past few months, while new home sales have been rising. Mortgage rates reached as high as 6.79% at the end of May as uncertainty moved through the financial industry due to the debt ceiling standoff. This increase in mortgage rates cooled mortgage applications.

Persons: “, ”, Nancy Vanden Houten, Ryan Sweet, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James, ” Aleman Organizations: DC CNN, US Department of Housing, Urban Development, Census Bureau, Oxford Economics, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington, Northeast, South, West

☆ CPI in May: US inflation cooled significantly — but it's still not where the Fed wants it
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The Consumer Price Index, a key inflation gauge that measures price changes for a basket of goods and services, increased 4% for the year ending in May. That represents a sharp pullback from April’s 4.9% and is slightly below economists’ expectations for a 4.1% gain, according to Refinitiv. It’s the 11th consecutive month that inflation has slowed, and it’s a welcome reprieve from the painful shock of persistently high inflation endured during the past two years. The Fed would like to see inflation (as measured by the core Personal Consumption Expenditures index) settle in at 2%. Markets are currently pricing in a 95.3% probability that the Fed pauses on Wednesday, according to CME FedWatch.

Persons: It’s, “, Nancy Vanden Houten, it’s, Chris Zaccarelli, “ They’ve, ”, Scott Olson, Vanden Houten, There’s, Kurt Rankin, ” Rankin Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oxford Economics, CNN, Federal Reserve, Independent, CPI, Fed, FedWatch, Walmart, Federal Reserve Bank, Richmond, Hospitality, PNC Financial Services, PNC, United Locations: Minneapolis, Chicago , Illinois, United States

☆ Slower US job, wage gains expected in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Nevertheless, the Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday is expected to still show the labor market remaining tight. PROGRESS ON INFLATIONBut the overall labor market remains upbeat, with first time applications for state unemployment benefits hovering at very low levels. Slowing wage inflation is corroborated by other measures like the Atlanta Fed's wage tracker, which has come off its peaks. Financial markets see a nearly 70% chance of the Fed keeping its policy rate unchanged at its June 13-14 meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool. The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, which compiles the employment report, did not record the work stoppage in its May strike report.

Persons: Bill Adams, Brian Bethune, Nancy Vanden Houten, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, Comerica Bank, Data, Labor Department, Atlanta, Boston College, Fed, Writers Guild of America, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: y WASHINGTON, Dallas, New York

☆ US weekly jobless claims rise slightly; labor market defies recession fears
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

"Labor market conditions are still tight," said Nancy Vanden Houten, lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics in New York. "While we expect the Fed to leave rates steady at its upcoming meeting, a more sustained loosening of labor market conditions is needed to keep rate hikes permanently off the table." Unadjusted claims increased by 5,296 to 207,941 last week, with notable rises in New York, Ohio and Illinois. While the labor market continues to surprise with strength, manufacturing is in a downward spiral. The Fed's "Beige Book" report on Wednesday described the labor market as having "continued to be strong" in May, but noted that "many contacts" were "fully staffed."

Persons: Nancy Vanden Houten, Unadjusted, nonfarm payrolls, payrolls, Christopher Rupkey, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: PMI, Federal Reserve, Fed, Labor, Oxford Economics, Labor Department, Reuters, Institute for Supply Management, Treasury, U.S, Thomson Locations: May WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, New York , Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts

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